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Risk ranking — assets with the most uncertainty

Assets ordered by their gauge percentile of risk: how wide their 20-day uncertainty band is versus their own history, highest uncertainty first. This is a descriptive photo of observed risk — not a prediction, and never a list of what to buy. The band is risk, not direction.

This is a risk ranking, not a list of what to buy. It orders by a measured uncertainty percentile; it does not say which asset is a good investment, where any price will go, or which one to hold. Higher up means more uncertainty — not “better” or “worse”. The band is risk, not direction.

When an asset scores. The gauge percentile appears once an asset has at least 12 months of data and the engine has produced an uncertainty band for it. Until then the asset is shown as Not scored — no number is invented. A row can be not scored today and score later without anything being wrong.

Loading the risk ranking…

Assets ordered by their gauge percentile of risk (descriptive, highest uncertainty first). Columns: rank, asset, risk tier, gauge percentile, band width, regime and coverage. Assets without a gauge are shown as not scored, with no number.
Rank Asset Risk tier Gauge percentile Band width Regime Coverage
1^STOXX50EElevated
100
3.4%Interlaced88%
2CRMElevated
100
5.0%Trending79%
38306.TElevated
100
7.6%Trending93%
4ALV.DEElevated
100
5.3%Trending90%
56098.TElevated
93
16.3%Trending79%
6SU.PAElevated
93
6.0%Ranging93%
7KOElevated
93
—Trending76%
8^GDAXIElevated
80
4.9%Trending84%
9CL=FElevated
80
12.0%Trending93%
10VElevated
80
6.6%Trending83%
114063.TElevated
80
6.2%Ranging83%
12IFX.DEElevated
80
14.0%Ranging100%
13TTE.PAElevated
80
4.4%Trending98%
14GSK.LElevated
80
5.2%Ranging88%
15SPYElevated
80
5.0%Trending88%
16^IBEXElevated
73
3.0%Ranging100%
17BZ=FElevated
73
10.9%Trending98%
18MSFTElevated
73
3.0%Trending81%
19CLNX.MCElevated
73
3.5%Ranging95%
20BAS.DEElevated
73
6.8%Trending95%
21BMW.DEElevated
73
7.0%Ranging98%
22^IXICModerate
67
3.7%Trending88%
23^DJIModerate
67
3.2%Trending88%
24HDModerate
67
7.2%Ranging88%
25AMGNModerate
67
2.9%Trending81%
26MCDModerate
67
2.7%Ranging95%
27ITX.MCModerate
67
3.2%Trending98%
28FER.MCModerate
67
3.2%Ranging86%
296861.TModerate
67
7.6%Trending81%
30SIE.DEModerate
67
8.0%Trending90%
31BP.LModerate
67
9.5%Interlaced95%
32RIO.LModerate
67
4.7%Trending90%
33WMTModerate
67
—Ranging86%
34^GSPCModerate
60
3.8%Trending88%
35^N225Moderate
60
4.4%Interlaced100%
36METAModerate
60
6.0%Ranging93%
37DTE.DEModerate
60
3.5%Ranging95%
38^FTSEModerate
53
2.7%Interlaced98%
39AMZNModerate
53
8.2%Ranging88%
40SAP.DEModerate
53
3.5%Trending86%
41MBG.DEModerate
53
5.1%Ranging93%
42AZN.LModerate
53
2.5%Ranging95%
43SHEL.LModerate
53
6.4%Trending98%
44GLEN.LModerate
53
4.6%Trending100%
45000001.SSModerate
47
2.6%Trending98%
46HG=FModerate
47
2.2%Trending100%
47AMS.MCModerate
47
3.5%Trending84%
489984.TModerate
47
15.1%Ranging100%
49SAN.PAModerate
47
4.8%Trending86%
50ULVR.LModerate
47
8.7%Trending88%
51DGE.LModerate
47
5.8%Trending85%
52^HSIModerate
40
2.9%Ranging98%
53NVDAModerate
40
5.4%Trending93%
54SAN.MCModerate
40
7.0%Trending97%
55BBVA.MCModerate
40
13.6%Trending95%
56AENA.MCModerate
40
1.8%Ranging95%
576758.TModerate
40
7.0%Trending88%
58ASML.ASModerate
40
5.4%Ranging95%
59MC.PAModerate
40
5.0%Ranging95%
60BTC-USDModerate
40
5.0%Trending86%
61XOMModerate
40
—Ranging93%
62GOOGLLow
33
7.3%Ranging93%
63LLYLow
33
5.2%Ranging93%
64CATLow
33
5.5%Ranging98%
65REP.MCLow
33
4.7%Trending94%
666501.TLow
33
6.0%Trending95%
67AIR.DELow
33
4.8%Ranging93%
68HSBA.LLow
33
3.6%Interlaced98%
69JPMLow
33
—Ranging100%
70GC=FLow
27
2.8%Trending93%
71SI=FLow
27
5.4%Trending98%
72TSLALow
27
7.8%Ranging93%
73NFLXLow
27
7.3%Trending95%
74UNHLow
27
5.8%Ranging98%
75TEF.MCLow
27
3.0%Interlaced95%
767203.TLow
27
3.4%Trending95%
779983.TLow
27
7.4%Ranging100%
78USDCHF=XLow
20
0.8%Interlaced86%
79AAPLLow
20
3.7%Ranging91%
80AVGOLow
20
13.3%Ranging95%
818035.TLow
20
10.6%Ranging98%
82MUV2.DELow
20
8.5%Trending100%
83AIR.PALow
20
4.7%Ranging91%
84USDJPY=XLow
13
0.6%Interlaced80%
85USDCNY=XLow
13
0.2%Interlaced88%
86BRK-BLow
13
2.1%Interlaced90%
87GSLow
13
4.7%Interlaced98%
88IBE.MCLow
13
3.5%Ranging95%
89OR.PALow
13
2.1%Trending88%
90BATS.LLow
13
6.4%Ranging95%
91PGLow
13
—Ranging95%
92NG=FLow
7
9.3%Trending95%
93EURUSD=XLow
7
0.8%Trending86%
94GBPUSD=XLow
7
1.1%Interlaced93%
95AUDUSD=XLow
7
1.2%Trending100%
96COSTLow
7
2.8%Interlaced95%
97AXPLow
7
5.7%Ranging98%
98ETH-USDLow
7
—Trending88%

How to read a row. The gauge percentile is the width of the asset’s 20-day uncertainty band relative to its own history — a higher percentile means more uncertainty than usual for that asset, not that it will go up or down. Tiers by shape: Low · Moderate · Elevated. The regime (Williams’ Alligator) is descriptive context, never a weight recommendation. It all traces back to the methodology.